The political temperature is heating up as the 2027 general elections draw closer, with a complex web of alliances, rivalries, and generational shifts shaping the race for the presidency.
At the heart of the dilemma is the Gusii community, where two heavyweights—former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i and ex-Chief Justice David Maraga—are poised to contest for the top seat. Meanwhile, the Mt. Kenya region remains deeply divided, especially after the impeachment of Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua, who remains a formidable force in the quest to dethrone President William Ruto.
Adding to the intrigue is the growing influence of Generation Z, a demographic both Ruto and his critics are desperately trying to woo.
The Gusii community, long considered a political swing region, is now at a crossroads. Fred Matiang’i, a seasoned administrator and former powerful Cabinet Secretary, has been quietly building his political base since leaving government. His reputation as a no-nonsense leader and his close ties to the previous administration make him a formidable candidate.
However, his path is not without obstacles. Former Chief Justice David Maraga, celebrated for his role in the 2017 Supreme Court ruling that nullified the presidential election, is also eyeing the presidency. Maraga’s moral authority and perceived integrity have endeared him to many, but critics question his political experience.
“The Gusii community is in a dilemma,” says Richard Onyonka, Kisii County Senator. “Matiang’i has the experience and networks, but Maraga has the moral high ground. It’s a classic case of choosing between a technocrat and a reformist.”
Political analyst Javas Bigambo adds, “The Gusii region is not monolithic. Matiang’i appeals to those who value pragmatism and development, while Maraga resonates with those yearning for ethical leadership. The community must decide which value system they prioritize.”
Mt. Kenya power struggles: Gachagua impeachment and Ruto woes
In the Mt. Kenya region, the political terrain is even more tumultuous. The impeachment of Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua has left the region in disarray. Gachagua, once a staunch ally of President Ruto, has become a vocal critic of the administration, accusing it of sidelining the Mt. Kenya region. Despite his impeachment, Gachagua remains a force to reckon with, with many viewing him as the region’s best bet to reclaim political relevance.
“Gachagua’s impeachment was a miscalculation,” says Danstan Omari, a prominent lawyer and political commentator. “He has the grassroots support and the charisma to mobilize the Mt. Kenya vote. If he decides to back up a selected candidate in 2027, he could pose a serious threat to Ruto.”
President Ruto, however, is not taking any chances. His administration has been working overtime to consolidate support in the region, with frequent visits and development projects aimed at winning back the hearts of the Mt. Kenya electorate. But the region’s political elite remains divided, with some backing Ruto and others rallying behind Gachagua.
“Mt. Kenya is at a crossroads,” says Eugene Wamalwa, leader of the DAP-K party. “The region must decide whether to stick with Ruto or chart a new course with Gachagua. Either way, the decision will have far-reaching implications for the 2027 elections.”
The GenZ factor: A new political frontier
One of the most intriguing dynamics of the 2027 elections is the role of Generation Z. This tech-savvy, politically conscious demographic has emerged as a kingmaker, with both President Ruto and his critics scrambling to win their support. GenZ’s influence was evident in the 2022 elections, where social media campaigns and youth-led movements played a pivotal role in shaping public opinion.
“GenZ is the future of Kenyan politics,” says PLO Lumumba, a renowned lawyer and political analyst. “They are not swayed by tribal affiliations or empty promises. They want tangible solutions to issues like unemployment, corruption, and climate change. Any candidate who ignores them does so at their own peril.”
“The 2027 elections will be a defining moment for Kenya,” says PLO Lumumba. “The choices we make today will shape the future of this nation for generations to come. Let us choose wisely.”
President Ruto has been making overtures to the youth, with initiatives like the Hustler Fund and digital jobs programs. However, critics argue that these efforts are too little, too late.
“Ruto’s administration has failed to address the root causes of youth unemployment,” Kiambu Senator Karungo Thangwa. “The youth are tired of tokenism. They want real change.”
On the other hand, Gachagua and other opposition figures are banking on the youth’s discontent to fuel their campaigns. “The youth are the backbone of this nation,” Gachagua said in a recent rally. “We cannot continue to ignore their plight. If elected, I will prioritize job creation and youth empowerment.”
The Broad-Based Government’s Dilemma
The broad-based government, a coalition of opposition parties and civil society groups, is facing its own set of challenges. With no clear frontrunner for the presidency, the coalition risks fragmentation. Some members are pushing for a united front, while others are advocating for open primaries to select a candidate.
“The broad-based arrangement is at a critical juncture,” says Javas Bigambo. “They must decide whether to rally behind a single candidate or risk splitting the vote. The stakes are high, and the clock is ticking.”
Junet Muhammad ,key figure in the coalition, acknowledges the challenges but remains optimistic. “We are stronger together,” he says. “Our diversity is our strength. We are working tirelessly to build consensus and present a united front in 2027.”
As the political drama unfolds, one thing is clear: the road to 2027 will be anything but smooth. The stakes are high, the players are many, and the outcome is uncertain. But in the end, it is the Kenyan people who will have the final say.
